I tried flashing Jetpack 5.1.1 to a Orin NX 16GB and that failed:
Flash Jetson Linux
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3905 ] ERROR: carveout /misc/carveout/aux_info@CARVEOUT_UNUSED5/ is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3909 ] ERROR: carveout /misc/carveout/aux_info@CARVEOUT_UNUSED5/ is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3913 ] ERROR: carveout /misc/carveout/aux_info@CARVEOUT_MCE_COVERAGE/ is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3917 ] ERROR: carveout /misc/carveout/aux_info@CARVEOUT_MCE_COVERAGE/ is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: carveout /misc/carveout/aux_info@CARVEOUT_MCE_COVERAGE/ is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_config is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_diff_configuration is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_ref_frequency_configuration is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_control is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_adjust_configuration is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_fast_adjust_configuration is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3923 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_adjust_delta_control is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_capture_control_ptx is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_capture_config_ptx is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_stscrsr is not supported
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ] ERROR: /misc/tsc_controls/tsc_locking_adjust_num_control is not supported
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ]
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ] Parsing config file :tegra234-mb1-bct-device-p3701-0000_cpp.dtb
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ] Added Platform Config 9 data with size :- 100
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3924 ]
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3925 ] Updating mb1-bct with firmware information
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.3952 ] tegrabct_v2 --chip 0x23 0 --mb1bct mb1_bct_MB1.bct --recov --updatefwinfo readinfo_t234_min_prod.xml.bin
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4030 ] tegrahost_v2 --chip 0x23 0 --align mb1_bct_MB1_aligned.bct
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4073 ] tegrahost_v2 --chip 0x23 0 --magicid MBCT --appendsigheader mb1_bct_MB1_aligned.bct zerosbk
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4096 ] adding BCH for mb1_bct_MB1_aligned.bct
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4241 ] tegrasign_v3.py --key None --list mb1_bct_MB1_aligned_sigheader.bct_list.xml --pubkeyhash pub_key.key --sha sha512
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4246 ] Assuming zero filled SBK key
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4285 ] Warning: pub_key.key is not found
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4182 ] tegrahost_v2 --chip 0x23 0 --updatesigheader mb1_bct_MB1_aligned_sigheader.bct.encrypt mb1_bct_MB1_aligned_sigheader.bct.hash zerosbk
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4222 ] Error: Skip generating mem_bct because sdram_config is not defined
13:33:03 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4222 ] Error: Skip generating mem_bct because sdram_config is not defined
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4222 ] Copying signatures
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4256 ] tegrahost_v2 --chip 0x23 0 --partitionlayout readinfo_t234_min_prod.xml.bin --updatesig images_list_signed.xml
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4404 ] mb1_t234_prod_aligned_sigheader.bin.encrypt filename is from images_list
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4407 ] psc_bl1_t234_prod_aligned_sigheader.bin.encrypt filename is from images_list
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4408 ] Boot Rom communication
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4422 ] tegrarcm_v2 --new_session --chip 0x23 0 --uid --download bct_br br_bct_BR.bct --download mb1 mb1_t234_prod_aligned_sigheader.bin.encrypt --download psc_bl1 psc_bl1_t234_prod_aligned_sigheader.bin.encrypt --download bct_mb1 mb1_bct_MB1_sigheader.bct.encrypt
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.4436 ] BR_CID: 0x80012344705DD7896C00000007FF0240
13:33:03 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.5004 ] Sending bct_br
13:33:08 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ 0.5536 ] ERROR: might be timeout in USB write.
13:33:08 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: Error: Return value 3
13:33:08 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: Command tegrarcm_v2 --new_session --chip 0x23 0 --uid --download bct_br br_bct_BR.bct --download mb1 mb1_t234_prod_aligned_sigheader.bin.encrypt --download psc_bl1 psc_bl1_t234_prod_aligned_sigheader.bin.encrypt --download bct_mb1 mb1_bct_MB1_sigheader.bct.encrypt
13:33:08 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: --- Error: Reading board information failed.
13:33:08 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: *** ERROR: Parsing boardid failed
13:33:08 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ Component Install Finished with Error ]
13:33:08 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [host] [ 8.70 MB released. Disk Avail: 36.76 GB ]
13:33:08 INFO: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: [ NV_L4T_FLASH_JETSON_LINUX_COMP Install took 6s ]
13:33:08 ERROR: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: command terminated with error
13:33:08 SUMMARY: Flash Jetson Linux - flash: First Error: Installation failed.